An analysis on the trend of AIDS/HIV incidence in Chongqing and Shenzhen, China from 2005–2015 based on Age-Period-Cohort model

<abstract><p>This paper elucidates that the AIDS/HIV incidence rate differences exist among different population and regions, especially old college students. Due to effect of age, AIDS peak in males aged 20–35 years 50 both Chongqing Shenzhen, increasing spread was higher than females under period effect. In local over 40, below whole age groups are predicted increase sharply future six years, while females, rates 40-year-old were as well. The homosexually transmitted patients reaches 20–35, through heterosexual around 50-year-old. Under period, sexual routes showed an upward trend Shenzhen. between 41 70 presents with years. results show great therefore it is necessary take specific measures respectively.</p></abstract>